Monday , June 27 2022

Who are winners and losers before a possible electoral partition in the province



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of Maxi Pérez (@perezmaxi), correspondent of NOVA in the Government House and the Legislature

A silent but fierce intern grows over these hours in the heads of the Buenos Aires province and is linked to the possibility of holding elections next year, which some believe would improve the chances of reelection the governor María Eugenia Vidal and of the deliberates of Cambiemos still in a scenario of deepening the economic crisis.

The governor did not take a clear position on this issue, but allowed the debate, and this week, during a tour of the seventh electoral section, slipped, almost in passing, some details about how the negotiations with the government unfold national on extra funds for 2019, where the possibility of advancement of elections is one of the provincial pressure instruments.

"For the new works, we hope to get the Conurbano Fund upgraded, I told the mayor, I do not like to promise what I'm not sure I will do, and we have to wait for this update to be a new work "Vidal said after meeting with Gustavo Cocconi, head of the Tapalqué communal, during an official visit to the districts of the province center.

This is the key to understanding why this time the president did not automatically align with Rosada. It is even under a possible agreement with the president Mauricio Macri, is bound to give a message of independence, which also disconnects its figure from the responsibilities of the economic crisis.

On the division side, although most were not openly admitted to the ruling party, especially in conurbano districts where Macri's negative image could seriously damage their chances of re-election, in addition, because peronism begins to abroquelarse in the territory that awaits national definitions and the mayors of Cambioos have no firepower to cope with the advance of the opposition and to support in addition the presidential vote.

The latest available information shows that in February the Cambioos campaign team would make a decision on overcoming elections in Buenos Aires, although in reality the definition would be given again by the PRO, again denying radicalism, although the centennial force would see the deployment, especially if it is within a national strategy that includes Mendoza, the province that governs Alfredo Cornejo.

Play double in Massismo

The Renovador Front was the first space that put pressure on the elections, although in this case the objective was to allow officials to name elections outside the national calendar and, according to rumors that were not totally rejected, their own Sergio Massa I would have asked Vidal to coin the budget.

The agreement did not prosper, and the masses oscillate, and although it is still the best option to change from adding votes to deputies to approve the "law of the law," it no longer has such a clear position as to the advancement of elections and when it appears that the territorial leaders of that space have the freedom to act to conclude agreements with the peronian sectors.

Meanwhile, Frente Renovador is also testing the ground for launching the first pre-candidate of the governor, deputy Jorge D'onofrio, which does not formalize its intentions to compete, but it is presented as the most active figure of its bank, with a strong criticism of the provincial government and a conciliatory look with the rest of the opposition.

Peronism against

If it is a complex engineering for electoral processes, no doubt that Peronism of the province is the absolute winner, counted in its history with collectors, testimonies, enrollment laws and, of course, sheet and paper lists, which sometimes guarantee upward traction and sometimes from bottom to top.

The truth is that now, as Unity Agreements advance, exactly peronism opposes a high-level electoral engineering measure such as the advancement of provincial elections, mainly because part of the success of 2019 depends more than pulling the national candidate , whatever it may be, of Macri's negative weight in conurbano tickets.

In addition, it is scientifically demonstrated that the bodies in the middle of the ballot, in particular the nomination for the governor, are the least likely to generate a "hacking" effect with the other categories, so keep the whole scheme, the primary and sheets offer the ideal framework for canceling the more feared Vidal effect in next year's elections.

Therefore, none of the pre-Candidates of Peronism, like Veronica Magario. Francisco Durañona or Alberto Samid, have not even questioned the issue, and eventually been debated in the legislature, they were preparing as an economic counter-argument, similar to that held by Cambiemos intending to eliminate the PASO, that is to suppress the elections in communes would be a waste of resources.

At the same time, the questions to the leadership and the critical acid that Magario has always launched have strengthened. This week, the Mayor of San Antonio de Areco added that Vidal is "a TV-only being" in a clear allusion to the media raid the governor has made over the past few days.

In short, almost Peronism Cristina Kirchner he did not want to know anything about a deployment, but chose to ignore the problem and concentrate all efforts to mark the mistakes of the Buenos Aires government.

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