Beaudesert coach Glen Baker said the pressure is off because in northern Queensland, the Paniagua sensation is heading for unwanted betting races and has no more wins to keep.
Paniagua has a $ 20 chance in The Wave (1800 m) of $ 250,000 on the Gold Coast on Saturday, with a castle that had its first race since the eight-race winning streak was broken when it ran on sixth place in The Gateway at Eagle Farm on December 12th.
Prior to that, Paniagua had seven consecutive victories for former coach Alex Maliff in North Queensland and one in Doomben after being transferred to Baker so he could compete in south-east Queensland.
Baker believes Paniagua simply did not cope with the seven-day back-up when his winning streak was caught at Eagle Farm and also did not appreciate the fall back from 1600m to 1400m.
He says Paniagua has thrived since the last race a month ago and believes the 1800m wave is in its sweet spot.
The reservation of Melbourne Cup winner Michael Rodd is positive, but Baker has great respect for Paniagua’s rivals in The Wave.
Also, drawing the widest barrier does not help.
“Going down the distance last time and backing up, he just didn’t like it,” Baker said.
“I think that 1800 (m) is more on the road and probably even takes it over 2000m in races after that.
“It’s a pretty talented horse, but there are a lot of talented horses in the wave.
“The good thing for me and the owners is that there is no pressure now to keep their winning streak and we can enjoy the race, we are quite deceived.
“The reason he didn’t run for a month is that he was probably the victim of some circumstances because of the way the races were scheduled and then he returned to the Gateway.
“Frosty Rocks (galloping Bjorn Baker who ran in The Gateway and now challenges Wave) was able to return to Sydney and run there before lining up in Wave, but there was nothing right for us here.”
Ballistic Boy is the $ 3.80 favorite for The Wave on Ladbrokes with Danny O’Brien Paradee’s Victorian mare at $ 4.40 and Frosty Rocks on the next betting line at $ 4.50.
Read all the News Ben Dorries